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Wednesday, June 9, 2010





Stock Market: Bull and Bear Markets.

When we talk about bull and bear stock markets reminds me that it's a zoo out there. And, like any zoo, there are quite a few wild (?) species to be found!
The first two are the bulls and the bears. We do know that a bull market is when stock prices are climbing strongly and a bear market is when they're languishing.

One common myth is that the terms "bull market" and "bear market" are derived from the way those animals attack a foe, because bears attack by swiping their paws downward and bulls toss their horns upward.

This is a useful mnemonic, but is not the true origin of the terms.
Long ago, "bear skin jobbers" were known for selling bear skins that they did not own; i.e., the bears had not yet been caught. This was the original source of the term "bear."
This term eventually was used to describe short sellers, speculators who sold shares that they did not own, bought after a price drop, and then delivered the shares.

Because bull and bear baiting were once popular sports, "bulls" was understood as the opposite of "bears." I.e., the bulls were those people who bought in the expectation that a stock price would rise, not fall.
Both bull and bear markets are inevitable!
Smart investors try to anticipate both events to profit from their eventuality.
Bear markets are generally shorter in duration than bull markets. To avoid being hurt by bear markets you must recognize the signs early and move part of your assets into cash equivalent investments.
We do recommend that you invest for the long term. Don't let the bears get you down!


Abraham Lincoln (1809 - 1865) once said: "When you have got an elephant by the hind legs and he is trying to run away, it is best to let him run!"



The same thing is true of bears - don't panic and sell low. Let the bear market run its course, which history tells us is likely to be short.

On the other hand, a bull market can leave many investors feeling pretty good about their ability to prosper.
Their confidence bolstered by the good times ...
Some even find themselves swept up in "Bull Market Myopia" and forget the basic tenets of smart investing, like asset allocation and portfolio diversification.
Holding good stocks through bull and bear markets is a prudent strategy. However, many investors feel that they do not want to be in the market during a bear market. It is difficult to predict when to move in and out of the market.
When a bear market ends, a strong upward move can occur in a short time. If you are not in the market you will miss the move. The probability that your timing will be wrong is very high.
Unlike slow-starting bull markets, bear markets may start with a mini-crash - a major drop within a few days when investors least expect it.
Many investors are afraid to get out of a bull market for fear of missing "big profits" at the top of the market.
This is a recipe for disaster!
It is also known as greed!
As a bull market continues to increase, investors should start to decrease their stock holdings and move them into cash or money markets accounts.
Now, besides bulls and bears there are two other animals in our zoo to keep watch for!
Ostriches:
Are investors who stick to their old strategies, oblivious to changes in the world around them.
And then there are the Hogs:
Bulls can make money ...
Bears can make money ...
But hogs are investors who are too greedy and usually get slaughtered!



THINK ABOUT IT!...




































































Monday, June 7, 2010

STOCK ANALYSTS



Stock analysts see choppy trading, then turnaround..

Some stock analysts peer through string of gloomy headlines to see market higher for the year.
Jobs are hard to come by, debt problems are hobbling several European countries and oil is spreading across the Gulf of Mexico. With news like that, it's hard to see how the stock market can pull out of its slump.
Many traders expect the market to keep falling, especially with no obvious catalysts to stop its six-week slide. But some pros predict that stocks will end the year higher.

Here's what could make the market stabilize and turn around:
1.) Traders should get an initial sense in the coming months of whether cost cuts by Europe's debt-strapped governments will, as many investors fear, slow the global economic rebound.

2.) They'll also get a better idea of what the financial overhaul bill being finalized in Congress will mean for bank profits.
3.) The market should have a sense of the economic fallout from the oil spill. And investors will be getting more economic numbers to determine whether the U.S. recovery is continuing.
4.) Still, a comeback won't be easy, as Friday's stock plunge showed. The Dow Jones industrials fell 323 points to a four-month low after the government's May jobs report missed expectations and more questions arose about Europe. The Dow is now down 11.4 percent from its 2010 peak of 11,205, which it reached April 26.

5.) That means it's back in a "correction," a drop of more than 10 percent from a recent high.

Many analysts predict that trading will remain choppy while investors wait for answers about the economy.




Friday, June 4, 2010

Here come the bulls

Now is a smart time to buy stocks....

Historically, on average there have been two particularly auspicious times to buy stock each year. Right now is one of those times.

We are very bullish on shares, and for the following reasons:

We do not believe that the economy will experience a double-dip in the remainder of 2010.

A typical bull market does not end after just one year, but averages between 2-3 years, depending upon the measurement technique used. It would be unlikely for the bull market to end now after just a one-year advance, especially after the severe and lengthy onslaught inflicted by the 2007-2008 bear, whose wrath has left many groups undervalued by historic measures.

Many stocks are forming sideways price consolidation areas, known as bases. Subsequent to an intermediate-term correction or bear market, this has been our most reliable indicator of an impending intermediate-term advance for the past 20 years.

In fact, during this period, we have only encountered one other instance in which the market fell apart and moved to new lows despite the presence of many stocks building bases. Especially bullish is the fact that more stocks are forming bases at present than at any time since 1999, or before.

In particular, we like the fact the stocks are building, and breaking out of, sideways areas of consolidation, known as bases.

Maxis: 04/06/10 (RM5.24) Buy, target price RM5.90
Alam Maritim (RM1.65) Buy, target price RM2.40
Wah Seong: (RM2.08) Buy, target price RM3.40